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Latest census data: We are the world

Borough population still rising, but almost half of new residents are newly arrived immigrants

Staten Island Advance - April 14, 2005

The next time you’re out shopping for groceries, walking the dog or boarding the Staten Island Ferry, stop and take a look around. According to the U.S. Census, the people who’ll look back at you may well hail from distant lands.

As the Island’s population continues to climb, the folks fueling that growth are more and more likely to have arrived directly from another country, signaling a shift that is causing the face of the borough to more closely resemble that of the rest of the city, according to the latest population estimates from the census.

“Staten Island is beginning to look a bit more like the other boroughs,” said Jonathan Peters, a business professor at the College of Staten Island who specializes in transportation. Peters spoke cautiously, warning that the data will need to be examined over the next few years to ascertain whether the numbers point to a passing phenomenon or a long-term trend.

The estimates show that the borough population increased by 19,586 people, or 4.4 percent, over the four years ending in July 2004. Of the newcomers, 46 percent were foreigners choosing Staten Island as their first American destination. The bulk of the rest came about through natural increase, with the number of births exceeding deaths by 9,650.

SPREADING ROOTS

The rise in international immigration is in large part an outgrowth of the footholds established here by previous waves of immigrants who have created a familiar, safe haven for people venturing to America.

The exploding Russian population in South Beach, for instance, took root when immigrants from the crowded, expensive Russian enclave of Brighton Beach and other Brooklyn neighborhoods branched out into new coastal territory.

Now that the Island has its own mini-Brighton Beach, it seems that more and more Eastern Europeans are skipping Brooklyn and coming straight here.

Recently transplanted South Beach resident Galena Shutova is one such person. Until six months ago, Ms. Shutova, 56, lived in Yalta, a tourist town on the Black Sea in Ukraine. Able to learn to speak English while working in hotels, Ms. Shutova said she immigrated to the U.S. in search of a better life for herself, as well as her daughter and three grandchildren, who still live in Ukraine. She won a green card through the lottery system, and said that as soon as she earns her U.S. citizenship, she will bring the rest of her family to America.

Standing on Sand Lane yesterday, all windswept blond hair and bright pink lipstick, she explained she was drawn to South Beach because of the water. She added that the area also has “better houses,” and is “cleaner.”

Folks like Ms. Shutova are compensating for a fall in the number of people coming here from points nearby, like Brooklyn.

MORE IN THAN OUT

The Island traditionally has been unique among the boroughs in that its newcomers, including many foreign-born residents, largely came from nearby areas, said Peters. Consider, for instance, that the whopping 17 percent population increase seen here in the 1990s — the largest in the state — comprised mostly suburb-seekers abandoning Brooklyn.

But the new estimates show that fewer people are moving here from other places within the U.S., and for the first time, that number is surpassed by those leaving.

In the 12 months ending in July 2004, Staten Island’s net domestic migration crossed into negative territory, to -1,634, or a rate of -3.5. That’s compared to 333 for the same period ending in July 2003, and 1,061 for the same period the prior year.

Although Staten Island still has a long way to go before it loses people to the extent of Brooklyn and Queens, the numbers suggest that it’s heading in the direction of other boroughs, which need international immigration to grow.

The estimates are based on Census 2000 population counts and are determined using administrative data such as tax returns, as well as estimates for births and deaths.

Despite the fall in domestic migration, the Island population continues to climb at a robust pace, thanks not only to its international immigrants but also to its stable of young families making babies.

Richmond ranked sixth among the state’s 62 counties in percent population change over the four-year period ending July 2004, with a 4.4 percent increase. The city’s other four boroughs ranked far behind: The Bronx landed in 19th place with a 2.5 percent increase; Manhattan ranked 19th with its i.6 percent increase, and Brooklyn and Queens ranked in the mid30th percentile, both with a .4 percent increase.

Still, after decades of fierce growth, there are signs the trend ‘may have passed its peak. In the 12-month period ending in July 2004, the Island grew by only .6 percent, compared to the same period in 2001, when it grew by 1.16 percent.
 


By Heidi J. Shrager
Reprinted here with permission from the
Click Here to read the Advance online


 

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